EU diplomatic sources who specialize in the Middle East believe that Israel cannot stop the Iranian nuclear program on its own using military means.

Teheran has effective countermeasures against air strikes, and the sources do not see Israel committing ground forces to a battle in Iran, pointing to the American experience in Iraq on that score.

In the wake of the Second Lebanon War, the Iranians and their proxies believe that Israel is not invincible. Furthermore, EU diplomatic officials predict the development of a regional conflagration of unknown proportions as a result of any Israeli strike on the Islamic Republic. While many nations in the region would quietly support Israeli action, in public they would have to align against the Jewish state, an EU source said, adding that “the end of this road is not known.” Continue reading →