Lampooning Lapid

Yair Lapid, the man who would be king, is starting to lose altitude. Just under two months since he announced that he was quitting journalism and entering politics, Lapid is starting to get worn down. And now the polls are starting to show what could be, for Lapid, a long, slow, and painful descent until the country actually heads into general elections, sometime toward the end of the year or the beginning of next year.

It started two weeks ago with his academic degree issue. Lapid was accepted to Bar Ilan University without a bachelor’s degree, even though the requirements include a BA with distinction. Bar-Ilan said Lapid had been accepted based on his journalistic and literary accomplishments. The Council for Higher Education, however, called the university’s explanation “insufficient.” Lapid’s only response, posted on his Facebook page, was that he didn’t care about the degree, and that the reports were a politically motivated attack on him.

He didn’t say he may have a problem with the way the university bent the rules for him. He didn’t say that he should have maybe set a better example. He’s not talking about or displaying the kind of moral clarity and clean leadership that so many Israelis crave, and that he was always preaching in his newspaper columns. In fact he’s not saying much at all. Once every few weeks he updates his Facebook status responding to something, but beyond that, nada. Just status updates. That’s how he’s talking to people. Which, in today’s world, could be enough, but also disconnects him from a lot of other people who want to see him working the street, talking, in the flesh, about what he believes in and what he’s going to do to change things. The Israeli electorate is not all found on Facebook. By sticking to his current formula, Lapid runs the risk of people not taking him seriously.

He’s already being lampooned on Eretz Nehederet, the country’s top-rated political satire program, as a vacuous airhead, a good-looking pin-up, who focuses more on his pout than his politics. This show, like Jon Stewart’s The Daily Show, has huge influence on how many Israelis brand their politicians. Once you’ve been typecast on Eretz Nehederet, that’s what many Israelis think of you.

Even the president of the Israel Democracy Institute Dr. Arik Carmon has, subtly, attacked the Lapid persona as a phenomena that strengthens the cult of personality over strengthening the political party. Carmon says that personification of politics needs to be weakened: the power of the central figure, the latest leader-celebrity to promise the Israeli electorate a way to the promised land. Carmon doesn’t want to see new, mid-sized, star-studded parties. He wants to see fewer, and bigger, mainstream parties that will stabilize the political system here and give the elected government a chance to govern, for the long-term.

How utterly predictable, and saddening, this all is. Lapid holds much promise, but he’s already tanking. Time will tell if his decision to go it alone and not join Kadima was the right one. Time will also tell how much staying power he has, and how much real depth and grit he can muster to fight his way through Israel’s political swamp.

Curious Communiques from a Chaotic Cabinet

News coming out today from the Prime Minister’s Office could lead one to believe that the atmosphere inside the most important and sensitive office in the country is on the chaotic side of late.

Firstly, the sensational story about alleged harrassment by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bureau chief Nathan Eshel. Continue reading

Iran on my mind

I can’t sleep.

How awful. I’ve had such a long day, and now I’m lying in bed, and all I can think of is Iran. Will we or won’t we? Should we or shouldn’t we? If we do, will the Americans join in? Or will we be in this on our own?

It seems like today, more than most days, was ‘let’s talk about Iran’ day. Ashkenazi talked about it, Yadlin talked about it, Dempsey talked about it. Time Magazine wrote about it. The New York Times had a big story about it. The Institute for Science and International Security released a report about it today.

And it wasn’t just today. Yesterday Bibi talked about it, the day before Barak talked about it. The day before that Foreign Affairs wrote about it.

Barry Rubin says we won’t.

Ronen Bergman says we will.

Iran overload. Did I miss something? Was there a memo? Why was there so much about Iran today?

I’ll try think about something else. Clear my mind. Decompress. It’s late.

But wait, will an attack destroy the program, or just set it back a few years? And if it just sets it back a few years, and gives them a legitimate justification for making nuclear bombs, what good is an attack then? And if we attack, will all our pilots come home? And what will happen to the Strait of Hormuz? Will the Iranians close it? And if they do, will the Americans open it? And what will that do to the price of oil? And if the price of oil spikes so high, what will that do to the European and American economies? And if those economies collapse, will there be a massive backlash against us?

Ok, let’s try this again. Clear your mind. Look for tension in your body and breathe into…

Hold on, will the Japanese and South Koreans join the EU oil embargo on Iran? Will the Saudis give China all the oil they might lose from Iran? And what about us and the Americans? What do they expect from us, and what do we want from them? Are we on the same page? It doesn’t seem like it. Can we do it without them? Can we withstand and sustain the fallout without them?

Don’t fight it Amir. This is big. Really, really big. History hinges on this moment; and you want to count sheep?!. Shame on you.

So go ahead, let go, let your mind ponder, ruminate, obsess.

See, by writing this, you’ve joined the long list of words about Iran today.

Bliss. Now I can sleep.

Tomorrow we can start all over again.

Israel to Iran: Do you get the picture?

When it comes to sending signals, a picture is worth a thousand words. And lately, Israel has been sending a lot pictures to get its message across.

Just over the past week, the Israeli defense establishment has released the following pictures of its set pieces:

The Ministry of Defense has released pictures of an Arrow 3 anti-missile defense system test. [Message to Iran: We can hit your long-range missiles, your threats of massive rocket attack have been noted and we're prepared].

Continue reading

Analysis: Israel and the Muslim Brotherhood

When the Muslim Brotherhood leadership looks around them they see an America in decline – both at home and abroad. They see how the US abandoned Mubarak. They see how America speaks of human rights in Egypt and Tunisia, but don’t apply these principles in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and Syria. Continue reading

As its neighborhood roils, Israel must work closer with America

Over the past few weeks there have been a growing number of signs that relations between Washington and Jerusalem are even more strained than they’ve been over the past few years.

The US Administration has gone out of its way to make it clear to the Israeli leadership that it believes sanctions against Iran are working and need more time to evolve. The US does not want Israel to launch a strike against Iran’s nuclear weapons program, and there exists a certain amount of unease at Israel’s opacity when it comes to sharing its Iran plans with America.

Where do Israel and America’s interests dovetail, and where do they part? Continue reading

Will you vote in the next elections?

Will the Israeli silent majority vote in larger numbers in the next general elections than they have in previous elections?

There are signs that it may. Over the past year, it is the silent majority, and specifically, those who consider themselves centrists in their political and economic outlook, which has been most heavily involved in three public campaigns that seem to have shaken it awake from its political slumber. Continue reading

Book Review: ‘Ben-Gurion, a Political Life’ by Shimon Peres

He must be rolling around in his grave. The handful of ultra-Orthodox, to whom he gave indemnity from work and military service, have become a million. Presidents and Cabinet ministers have landed themselves in jail for rape, corruption, and nepotism. ‘Proteksia’ is Israel’s official religion and all of its streams agree. The Knesset and the High Court are locked in a battle to the death, and the Knesset is winning. We have lost Turkey. And hardly anyone has moved to the Negev. If he were not already dead, he would resign. Continue reading

Eli Yishai cost us the war

Interior Minister and leader of the ultra-Orthodox Shas party Eli Yishai on Tuesday said something absolutely regrettable in its evil.

This is what he said:

“During the Six-Day War each and every Jew who went to battle raised his eyes to the Creator. But in the Second Lebanon War we said, ‘By my strength and the might of my hand, and then God said to us, ‘Let’s see the results of, ‘By my strength and the might of my hand.’”

In other words: The Israel Defense Forces lost the Second Lebanon War in 2006 because its soldiers didn’t pray enough, and the army wasn’t religious enough. Continue reading

Some thoughts on the situation 18/01/2011

1. A senior ranking IDF officer has told reporters the following two things:

a). The army is very loathe to demolish the illegal settlement outpost of Migron by the court-appointed deadline of March because it “will cause a serious backlash from the right wing and possibly change the security balance in the West Bank.”
In other words: we can carry out the orders of the High Court but it’s going to cause a major upheaval and so may not even be worth the trouble. Continue reading

All highly un-Orthodox

So what set off the latest Haredi riots in Jerusalem and Beit Shemesh? This time it wasn’t immodest dress by little religious girls. It wasn’t even the threat to open a Jerusalem parking lot on Saturday. It wasn’t anything to do with religious coercion or secular coercion or anything of the sort.

So what did happen? Continue reading

Yair Lapid’s Catch 22

UPDATE: Well, it looks like Lapid has chosen not to join Kadima. I guess that means he’ll most likely fail to achieve anything of real significance in his political career. Pity.

Here’s the original blog post:

So what will Yair Lapid do? Is he for himself, or is he for the greater public?

It seems as if the man from Channel 22 has landed himself in a Catch 22. Continue reading

Israel’s existential threat crisis

I’m trying to make up my mind, you know, about ‘it’. Should I be worried about it, really worried about it, somewhat worried about it? Should I panic? Should I pack an emergency suitcase? Or is it not as serious as some people make it out to be?

As a Jew born into the generation of Jews who are lucky enough to have come back to our historical homeland – after 2,000 years of exile and horror – you can understand my anxiety when serious people tell me that Iran’s nuclear program threatens to put an end to this historic homecoming. Continue reading

The Israeli diplomatic psyche explained

You dont like us when we’re weak
(Holocaust)
You dont like us when we’re strong
(Israel)
You just dont like us.
So it’s better that we’re strong.

Inside the Likud’s generational battle

Legislation to bend the legal establishment to the will of politicians; legislation against left-wing NGO funding; laws mandating loyalty oaths, fines against boycotts, increasing the minimum fine against libel, enforcing noise pollution on mosque muezzins, and much, much more.

What’s behind this ‘Assault on Democracy,’ this rush of legislation from the ruling coalition and its satellite parties? Why are young Likud legislators working overtime on changing the nature of the state? On the one hand we want our lawmakers to make laws, but on the other hand, many are alarmed at the rate of the laws being proposed, as well as their content. Continue reading

Obama’s Stennis Decision

UPDATE: I’ve just been informed that the USS John C. Stennis will not be returning to its base in Bahrain, and was not scheduled to in the first place. Another carrier group will take its place. So the Iranians can use plausible deniability when the new carrier arrives back in the Gulf, saying that the ship they warned was the Stennis, not this new ship. And the Americans can save face by bringing another ship into the Gulf, and not confronting the Iranians over the Stennis. Continue reading

2012 New Years Resolutions

They’re a few days late, but these things take time if they are to be serious.

I promise to love my fellow Israelis, even the despicable ones. I’ll love them until I can’t love them anymore. And then I’ll try not get too angry with them. Continue reading

VIDEO: At Judaism’s holiest site, abuse of a young girl

This is such a shocking video.

I have no idea who these people are, but it seems that the man beating the young girl is her father. How else can one explain the scene? Surely a stranger would never attack a girl he doesn’t know in public. Coming up the stairs, the man stops to talk to what seems to be his wife. The wife then says something about the daughter, and then turns her back. The man then walks over to the daughter and proceeds to deliver a brutal beating, in full sight of the public, without any shame or restraint, as the mother continues to look the other way. He pushes her to the floor, beats her when she’s down…a real hero. If he can do this in public, at a place like this, I shudder to think about the kinds of beatings he’s capable of in the privacy of his home. Continue reading

Poll shows political backlash against religious

Once every couple of months, Israel Radio’s Thursday morning political talk show Hakol Diburim (It’s All Talk) publishes a poll by Shvakim Panorama that tests the political waters in Israel. This week’s poll, coming as it does on the backdrop of intense media coverage of ultra-Orthodox exclusion and abuse of women, is particularly interesting, as it predicts a dramatic wellspring of support for a secular party, should one arise. The poll predicts that should TV journalist Yair Lapid [son of the late Yosef Lapid – leader of the secularist Shinui party] decide to join the political fray and establish a secular party, he would win 15 Knesset seats and overtake both Kadima and Israel Beitenu. Lapid hasn’t stated what his intentions are yet, but this poll will surely give him pause to consider entering politics. However, he could also be thinking that, since elections are only scheduled to take place in October 2013, the country’s current preoccupation with religious extremism will be long gone by then, replaced with another burning issue. As Shimon Peres famously said: Polls are like perfume, sweet to the smell, but deadly to drink. Continue reading

VIDEO: A most remarkable wedding

A most remarkable wedding

Joel, a British immigrant to Israel, marries Eginsu, an Ethiopian immigrant. The ceremony was conducted by an American immigrant rabbi speaking in perfect Amharic. Only in Israel. The bride was stunning and the vibe was incredible.

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